Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 0.239055 0.270776 0.304596 0.343275 0.386228 0.432400 0.485726
2025-09-14 0.194448 0.236714 0.284613 0.342702 0.411017 0.488570 0.583031
2025-09-21 0.163327 0.211608 0.269264 0.342734 0.433365 0.540968 0.677805
2025-09-28 0.140154 0.191985 0.256822 0.343107 0.454042 0.590901 0.771416
2025-10-05 0.124096 0.178717 0.249936 0.348419 0.479694 0.647113 0.874961
2025-10-12 0.112659 0.169788 0.247115 0.357769 0.510062 0.710020 0.989674
2025-10-19 0.101260 0.159335 0.240765 0.361081 0.531655 0.761694 1.091533
2025-10-26 0.092926 0.152168 0.237973 0.368509 0.558604 0.821208 1.206206
2025-11-02 0.086674 0.147294 0.237768 0.379148 0.590133 0.888018 1.333574
2025-11-09 0.078146 0.137905 0.229842 0.377430 0.603117 0.928715 1.425437
2025-11-16 0.070872 0.129689 0.222845 0.376269 0.616346 0.969797 1.519050
2025-11-23 0.064441 0.122150 0.216154 0.374825 0.628630 1.009544 1.611869
2025-11-30 0.060154 0.118022 0.214894 0.382337 0.655886 1.074046 1.746310
2025-12-07 0.054929 0.111680 0.209394 0.382446 0.671292 1.121116 1.856447
2025-12-14 0.050319 0.105943 0.204379 0.382858 0.686981 1.169099 1.969855
2025-12-21 0.046228 0.100716 0.199753 0.383461 0.702784 1.217703 2.086013
2025-12-28 0.043328 0.097463 0.198331 0.389418 0.727697 1.281756 2.229074
2026-01-04 0.041284 0.095681 0.199409 0.399784 0.760529 1.359900 2.397727
2026-01-11 0.038551 0.092184 0.196951 0.403463 0.781771 1.419627 2.538467
2026-01-18 0.036593 0.090100 0.196991 0.411668 0.811283 1.494211 2.706372
2026-01-25 0.035176 0.089025 0.198884 0.423405 0.847599 1.581627 2.898775
2026-02-01 0.032421 0.084680 0.193880 0.421514 0.858869 1.626363 3.020513
2026-02-08 0.029975 0.080755 0.189383 0.420236 0.871049 1.672951 3.146857